Implications of Fast Rising, Falling Gas Prices

A month ago, it cost close to $100 to fill up my 20 gallon SUV. This weekend, it just under $40.00 (the same amount it cost back in 2003). Measured in either time or price - it's a stunning decline / change. A month ago, television commercials, marketing campaigns and sales were tailored around saving money on gas (a great Netflix example is here). Now, those promotions are based on savings and financing. Also a drastic, immediate change.

Falling Gas Prices

There is a great WSJ article describing the implications of the rising / falling gas prices: Americans Drive Less, Creating a Problem - Less Consumption Means Lower Gas Prices, Will We Go From 'Shock to Trance' Again?

When gasoline prices shot over $4 a gallon this summer, Americans didn't wait for Washington to respond with an energy policy. They took action on their own by driving less and switching to more fuel-efficient cars. The results are dramatic, but also problematic.

The good news is that gasoline consumption has fallen compared with a year earlier in every month from March through September of this year, according to data from the Energy Information Administration. Vehicle miles traveled -- the wonky term for how much we drive -- have dropped for 11 straight months, and fell 4.4% in September, according to the Department of Transportation....

In short, many Americans, by choice or by default, did what the people who worry about the climate and U.S. dependence on petroleum wanted them to do. They burned about 5% less gasoline in August than a year ago, according to Energy Information Administration data.

By jamming the brakes on driving, rediscovering mass transit and walking past Hummers to buy compact cars like the Honda Fit, American consumers caused big trouble for powerful interests. The question now is how will those interests respond?

Video Game Consoles Up 26%; iPhone Killing Portable Gaming Devices?

Strong numbers were announced today from The NDP Group that show significant year-over-year growth in video game console purchases: +26% in October '08 vs. '07 for consoles, software and accessories. However, portable gaming consoles (like the PSP and Nintendo DS) fell 14%. This clearly is an outcome of devices like the iPhone which are now full gaming systems in their own right... with publishers developing high-quality content specifically for the platform. What is the benefit of buying a PSP or Nintendo Wii when, for the same price, you can have an iPhone which has cheaper content, is social (phone, sms, email, etc), smaller and sexier. This trend will continue....:

"The video games industry grew an impressive 18 percent year-over-year in the first month of the critical fourth quarter," she wrote. "With 10-months under its belt, the video games industry is still poised to top $22B in annual sales in 2008.

"The sales results are mixed this month, however. The console portion of the market made significant gains at 26% across hardware, software and accessories, while the portable side of the market stalled, declining 14%. Year-to-date the portable segment of the market is still up 7%."

Disney's Bolt iPhone App - Awesome Marketing

Is this how Hollywood is going to release new movies, music and video games? I hope so... because there is a lot of potential here.

Disney's launched an iPhone App for it's new film Bolt (which opens tomorrow). It launched a couple weeks prior to the movie's release. It's free, of course, as it's a marketing / brand awareness play. The App features:

- high quality trailers - an interactive game based on the accelerometer - high scores and viral score sharing

Not exactly an App I would use - but I am not the target audience. I do however think that this is a brilliant marketing move and look forward to other studios / marketers doing the same.

Bolt iPhone App Bolt iPhone App Bolt iPhone App Disney

The Economy Boosting McDonalds, Dunkin Donuts; Hurting Starbucks

Unlike many regular coffee drinkers, I actually quite like Starbucks. I plan to write further about this, but Starbucks is innovative, open to consumer feedback (hence the Pikes Place brew) and make consistently good coffee. I written many times though that I prefer Dunkin Donuts - in part due to the pricing. One outcome of the economic climate is that cheaper coffee producers (namely McDonalds) are finding success as consumers aren't willing to forgo their morning joe... but are willing to buy from cheaper locations.

Douglas Fisher, president of consultancy FHG International Inc, said, "The consumer is retrenching. They're out less and they're spending less. It's the low end of the market that is picking up now. A lot of it is consumers trading down."

I've heard - but been unable to verify - that Starbucks in fact saw sales rise, but revenues and profits fall as their consumers were shifting from more expensive, espresso-based drinks to drip coffees (which are about 50% of the cost). Whereas as latte can cost over $4.00, drip cofees are $1.50-$1.85 with available refills.

mcdonalds coffee

More from ReportonBusiness.com:

Meanwhile, business at McDonald's continues to grow as it cashes in on consumers' appetite for value. "Value, which has always been important, is mission critical today," McDonald's chief executive officer Jim Skinner said last month in reporting strong third-quarter results. Its U.S. same-store sales, a key measure in retailing, rose 4.7 per cent.

The picture is in stark contrast at Starbucks. It reported a same-store sales decline in the United States of 8 per cent, which was more than the company had anticipated. ... It doesn't help that McDonald's, which has declared itself to be "recession-resistant," is putting a push on selling coffee. In Canada, McDonald's premium drip coffee costs $1.13, $1.36 and $1.54 for its various servings compared with $1.58, $1.79, $2.05 and $2.24 at Starbucks.

The Election, Poltical Ad Spend & AdSense

This morning, I was notified by friends and blog readers of political ads running on my site ... it's happened quite frequently over the last few months and I've gone to Google to put out each small fire using their competitive ad filter (which, by nature, is a reactive process). This time, I got an ad supporting "Yes on Prop 8" - which is already highly controversial and certainly nothing I would place on my blog (which I work hard to maintain as politically neutral and tech / web / mobile focused): Prop 8 Advertisement

I am frustrated that Google doesn't have a meta-filter for ad categories that are political in nature (for instance)... asking me to block domain after domain is not particularly easy or effective.

Furthermore, I was asked by a specific ad-network (Forbes) to run this ad last week at premium CPMs (likely higher than what Google would pay) - and I declined. So you can imagine my frustration that the ads run DESPITE my prior decline at higher ad rates.

Update: TechCrunch just wrote about this exact topic... and the same ads. Glad to know others are also unhappy

Next Generation Remote Control Extender

I've written about (maybe even complained?!) Techmeme becoming Gadgetmeme... and I am falling into that bucket today as I have two product reviews that hopefully are useful for non-technical gadget fans like myself. You can check out the other review here. In an effort to reduce wires and ugly equipment boxes like Comcast's atrocious Motorola cable box, I bought a slim / saucer-like remote control extender from "Next Generation" that enables you to control cable box from afar... up to 100' supposedly.

It's quite clever actually - they have created a unique battery transmitter than sits within the saucer and also in your remote control.

The reviews on Amazon were amazing (194/255 were five stars; only 25 reviews were 1-3 stars). And it cost $100 less than most other options (it's just $33).

I have had some slight issues getting the sensor placed in the correct location on the Comcast Box - but I believe that is more due to Comcast's finnicky product.

Next Generation Remote Control Extender

Next Generation Remote Control

- Turns any IR remote into RF by simply installing the battery transmitter - Go room to room and control your components up to 100' away - No direct line of sight needed - Includes AAA battery transmitter with AA sleeve and receiver with built-in recharger - 433.92 MHz Unit

Product Dimensions: 9 x 4.5 x 2.8 inches ; 12.8 ounces

Reviews: 225 reviews, 194 were 5 stars

Why I Chose Bose Companion 3 Speakers Rather than a 5.1 System

We were planning on wiring our house with in-wall speakers and, after an 'audio specialist' arrived for a consultation / estimate, we weren't in love with the price and amount of necessary work, wiring, etc. So we looked for other options with three considerations in mind: 1. aesthetics: simple and small 3. flexibility: we opted against surround sound because it wouldn't work well for regular audio / entertaining. We wanted an option that was flexible for movie viewing, music, and so on. 3. price: any time you require wiring and professional work, the price mounts very quickly

So we arrived at a bizarre solution: running the television's audio through a set of nice Bose computer speakers... and you know what? It was perfect and 10% the cost of the conservative estimate. It took a few minutes to install everything and we can easily run between our media system, the radio or our iPod. And the sound is terrific - far better than running through our Samsung television.

An aside: we purchased the system from the Bose Store and, after explaining our intended set up, our salesman actually advised against their higher end computer speakers ($399). He explained that they are terrific but intended for a desk and thus optimized for a very limited radius.... His honesty saved us $150 and we ended up with a better system for our needs. I was very impressed.

Bose Companion 3 multimedia speaker system

Bose Companion 3

- Premium stereo performance for those who prefer a three-piece computer sound system - Two small desktop speakers deliver lifelike stereo sound - Hideaway Acoustimass module produces substantial low notes - Handy control pod includes volume, single-touch mute, headphone jack and auxiliary input

KFC Guitar Hero 4 Meal Deal is a Marketing Winner

I got it wrong. Totally wrong.

I underestimated the power of branded cardboard boxes of fried chicken.

This morning, I said that Kentucky Fried Chicken's promotion with Guitar Hero 4 was laughably bad... and used JibJab's High School Musical viral campaign as an example of a great branded promotion.

I stand by the JibJab comment - but apparently I underestimated the power of the Guitar Hero 4 brand... because since that post, my blog has been flooded with traffic arriving from Google search queries like:

» kfc guitar hero box price » kfc guitar hero » kfc box guitar hero » KFC GUITAR HERO » guitar hero box kfc » how much is new kfc guitar... » how much is the kfc guitar...

While I stand by my argument that this is not great marketing - KFC clearly attached themselves to a great brand and product launch. And their commercials did a great job featuring the Guitar Hero brand... effectively driving traffic to KFC and in search of their new combo meal. Even more impressive - this traffic is from the 2nd - 5th results in Google (meaning that I only represent a fraction of the actual 'demand' / activity.

JibJab + High School Musical 3 = Perfect Viral Marketing

If you have kids - you probably took them to see Disney's High School Musical 3 last night...And if you have kids - they probably will put JibJab's new HSM3 widget on their MySpace pages.

This is what viral marketing should aspire to be: - customizable - engaging - fun and re-watchable

... and it clearly has a business model behind it! Furthermore - the branded experience is what makes the widget enjoyable and attractive. I have shown this to several people now and the reactions are instant laughter... followed by a rush to create their own video!

Well done JibJab!

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